Promises vs Reality: Presidential Election Edition
With both the Republican and Democratic party conventions over, it’s safe to say we’re in the home stretch of the Presidential election. In fact, early voting starts in 7 days in North Carolina, a key swing state. That also means campaign rhetoric is heating up, and promises are being made—some wild ones, too, but this …
A Momentous Year, but 1968 Redux? Maybe Not
President Joe Biden withdrew from the 2024 presidential race and has endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee, although the endorsement does not necessarily mean she will win the nomination. The change in the Democratic ticket does not change our fundamental view of the election, which we discussed at length in our recently …
Election Update: Will He Stay or Will He Go?
The 2024 Republican National Convention ended on Thursday with former President Donald Trump’s acceptance of his party’s nomination. We also can’t ignore the other events in the last several weeks, including the contemptable attempt on former President Trump’s life and the ongoing uncertainty about President Joe Biden’s candidacy following his poor debate performance on June …
Markets React to Biden’s Debate Performance
If you read Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick’s prescient blog on Wednesday, you knew this might be coming. Ryan reminded us that debates don’t usually have an impact on elections, but sometimes there is that one gaff or glaring fault that a candidate never fully recovers from. Last night former President Donald Trump did not …
Thoughts On Tomorrow’s Debate
“I don’t make jokes, I watch the government and report the facts.” -Will Rogers Get your popcorn ready, as tomorrow’s debate is the earliest in election cycle history and it is also the first time in history that neither debater is officially their party’s candidate (the Republican Convention is July 15-18 and the Democratic Convention …
Buy In May and Stay? At Least in an Election Year
“Spring is nature’s way of saying, ‘Let’s party!’” – Robin Williams Buckle up, as the trigger points for one of the most well-known investment axioms, “Sell in May and go away,” is nearly here. This gets a ton of play in the media, as the six months starting in May are indeed the worst …
Are Democrats or Republicans Better for Stocks?
“George Washington was the only president who didn’t blame the previous administration.” -Source unknown How’s that for a title for a blog? Now that I have your attention, let’s talk a little bit about election years. We are getting the question of who is better for stocks a lot lately and given the election …
The 2024 Election – Tale of the Tape
The dust has settled on Super Tuesday, and it looks like the parties have chosen their champions for the November general election. Outside of American Samoa, Vermont, and Washington DC, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump have won every state for their respective parties. Barring something unusual, the 2024 election will be a …
16 Charts (and Tables) to Know This Election Year
“Americans will always do the right thing – after exhausting all other possibilities.” -Winston Churchill With Super Tuesday now in the books, the fact that we have a presidential election coming this November is getting very real. Although we aren’t going to predict who will be our next president, we are going to share …
Election Special with Libby Cantrill of PIMCO
As the race to the White House heats up, experts from the financial sector weigh in on the high-stakes implications of the upcoming presidential election. Today on Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group analyze the upcoming presidential election’s potential effects …