Election
Nine Interesting Things to Know About the Election
“It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” Yogi Berra, Yankee great and Hall of Fame catcher It is official, Donald J. Trump will become the 47th President of the United States. This of course is the second time he did it, joining Grover Cleveland as the only people to ever become President twice, …
Ryan Detrick
November 7, 2024
10 Quick Election Takeaways
Well, election day is now behind us, and while there’s some dust to settle yet, we now know a lot this morning. First, President-elect Donald Trump will be the 47th president of the United States, joining Grover Cleveland as the only president to win non-consecutive terms. Trump also won the popular vote for the first …
Barry Gilbert
November 6, 2024
12 Things to Know About Watching the Election Results
Well, election day is finally here. An estimated 79 million ballots have already been cast through mail-in and early in-person voting, or just over 50% of 2020’s total ballots cast, but this evening we end the voting process and, as polls close, begin the counting process. Carson Investment Research has been covering the election and …
Barry Gilbert
November 5, 2024
How Markets Might Respond to Post-Election Uncertainty
Have you heard? This is a tight election and it’s going down to the wire. Election Day is now five days away but an estimated 58.4 million ballots have already been cast, or more than 1/3 of the total votes cast in 2020. We would still call the presidential race a near coin toss, although …
Barry Gilbert
October 31, 2024
16 Charts (and Tables) to Know This Election Year Revisited
“Americans will always do the right thing – after exhausting all other possibilities.” -Winston Churchill The Carson Investment Research Team began covering the election back in March with our “16 Charts and Tables) to Know This Election Year.” With Election Day now 11 days away and early voting taking place in many states, we thought …
Barry Gilbert
October 25, 2024
Election Update Part 2: Potential Risks to the Outlook
We are now three weeks to election day, though about 4.7 million people have already voted. Most of those are mail-in ballot. About 55 million mail ballots have been requested (that’s 35% of the total votes cast in 2020), and 3.8 million have been returned so far. In part 1 of this election update, I …
Sonu Varghese
October 15, 2024
Ghosts of Elections Past: Some Lessons from 2016 and 2020
We are now within four weeks of election day, although early voting is already taking place in an increasing number of states. My colleague Sonu Varghese provided an excellent update on the election Tuesday. If you read it, you’ll notice it’s called Part 1. Watch for Part 2 next Tuesday. One of our top market …
Barry Gilbert
October 10, 2024
Election Update Part 1: Where the Odds Stand and What It Means
We have only four weeks to go to election day, although close to 2 million people have already voted, including close to half a million in states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. We figured this would be a good time to do an update on where the race stands, and what it means (or could …
Sonu Varghese
October 8, 2024
Promises vs Reality: Presidential Election Edition
With both the Republican and Democratic party conventions over, it’s safe to say we’re in the home stretch of the Presidential election. In fact, early voting starts in 7 days in North Carolina, a key swing state. That also means campaign rhetoric is heating up, and promises are being made—some wild ones, too, but this …
Sonu Varghese
August 30, 2024
A Momentous Year, but 1968 Redux? Maybe Not
President Joe Biden withdrew from the 2024 presidential race and has endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee, although the endorsement does not necessarily mean she will win the nomination. The change in the Democratic ticket does not change our fundamental view of the election, which we discussed at length in our recently …
Sonu Varghese
July 22, 2024
Election Update: Will He Stay or Will He Go?
The 2024 Republican National Convention ended on Thursday with former President Donald Trump’s acceptance of his party’s nomination. We also can’t ignore the other events in the last several weeks, including the contemptable attempt on former President Trump’s life and the ongoing uncertainty about President Joe Biden’s candidacy following his poor debate performance on June …
Barry Gilbert
July 19, 2024
Markets React to Biden’s Debate Performance
If you read Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick’s prescient blog on Wednesday, you knew this might be coming. Ryan reminded us that debates don’t usually have an impact on elections, but sometimes there is that one gaff or glaring fault that a candidate never fully recovers from. Last night former President Donald Trump did not …
Barry Gilbert
June 28, 2024