Investments

The Mega-Pod From Excell, Part 2

Are your financial decisions shaped by emotions or grounded in logic? The difference could have a bigger impact on your financial future than you think. This week on Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, host an insightful conversation recorded live …

Ryan Detrick

October 2, 2024

What’s Behind the Melt-Up in Chinese Stocks

Chinese stocks have melted up over the past week, with Mainland China’s main index, the CSI 300, surging a whopping 25% since September 23rd (through the 30th). Just on Monday (September 30th), the index surged 8.5%, taking it to the highest level since August 2023. China’s markets will be closed for the rest of the …

Sonu Varghese

October 1, 2024

The Bulls Take September, October Jitters, and a Fourth Quarter Preview

“October. This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August, and February.” -Mark Twain September to Remember Stocks had a rough start to September, but the bull market continued and it is looking like the S&P 500 will be …

Ryan Detrick

September 30, 2024

Guess What? The Bearish Narratives Look Even Worse Now

We just got a slew of economic data revisions from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and my first response was, Wow! A lot of this is backward-looking data, but it’s important to (re) level-set where we are, and the momentum associated with that. As my colleague Barry Gilbert said to me after these revisions, …

Sonu Varghese

September 27, 2024

Here’s the Real Dry Powder That Matters

Here’s the Real Dry Powder That Matters There’s been a lot of questions about the $6 trillion sitting in money market funds (MMF), and what’s going to happen to it as interest rates drop. Ben Carlson, Director of Institutional Asset Management at Ritholz Wealth Management, who pens the “Wealth of Common Sense” blog, wrote a …

Sonu Varghese

September 26, 2024

The Fed Goes Big: What the Recent Rate Cut Means for Investors

Is the Fed’s latest rate cut a sign of turbulent times ahead or a smart move to sustain growth? In this week’s episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, examine the Federal Reserve’s significant decision to cut interest rates …

Ryan Detrick

September 25, 2024

The New Record High for Markets Is Not a “Sugar High”

Last week was all about the Federal Reserve (Fed) jump-starting the rate cut cycle with a 0.5%-point cut. But amidst all the commentary around that, it’s easy to forget about what ultimately drives equities: profits. Note that what the Fed did was important even from this perspective. A Fed that is looking to cap the …

Sonu Varghese

September 25, 2024

Six Things to Know About Rate Cuts

“Be yourself. No one can say you’re doing it wrong.” -Charlie Brown The big story last week was the Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) cutting interest rates for the first time since March 2020. Sonu Varghese, VP Global Macro Strategist, discussed some of the reasons stocks soared after the Fed cut rates, but today I’ll look …

Ryan Detrick

September 24, 2024

Smarter AI Models are Redefining Accuracy

In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has moved from the fringes of technological advancement to the center stage of innovation. Companies like OpenAI and Microsoft are continually pushing the boundaries, releasing more intelligent, faster, and increasingly accurate AI models. Two such developments that have made headlines include OpenAI’s newest iteration of ChatGPT and Microsoft’s Wave …

Blake Anderson

September 23, 2024

Here’s Why Markets Liked What the Fed Did and Hit a New Record High

Stocks reacted in a fairly neutral way after the Federal Reserve’s historically significant decision to jumpstart the rate cutting cycle with a 0.5%-point cut. But the real follow-through came on the day after the Fed meeting, perhaps after everyone slept on it. The S&P 500 surged 1.7% to close at a new record high on …

Sonu Varghese

September 20, 2024

The Fed’s Got the Back of the Labor Market

Say goodbye to those 5.5% rates! The Federal Reserve (Fed) jump-started their policy pivot by going big at their September meeting, cutting interest rates by 0.50%-points, taking the federal funds rate to the 4.75-5.50% range. This was not entirely unexpected. Traders put the probability of a 0.5%-point move at 63% just prior to the meeting, …

Sonu Varghese

September 19, 2024

Talking Charts: How to Read the Market Like a Pro with Frank Cappelleri

Staying ahead of market volatility requires more than just luck — it demands sharp technical insights and smart risk management. This week on Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group are joined by Frank Cappelleri, CFA, CMT, Founder, and President at …

Ryan Detrick

September 18, 2024