Insights Investments

Last week, Citrini Research and Lotus Technology Management’s Alap Shah published a piece on AI that went viral, titled: “The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis.” The piece is a thought experiment that highlighted some potential consequences of rapid AI development (even if not base case) that the conventional view might be missing. They wrote a memo …

By Blake Anderson, CFA®, Associate Portfolio Manager The Numbers Nvidia’s latest quarterly results exceeded both the company’s and investors’ expectations. The company posted quarterly revenue of $68.1 billion, which exceeded the $65.0 billion of revenue the company guided for. This $3.1 billion beat compared to their guidance marks the company’s largest-ever beat, exceeding last quarter’s …

“Stop worrying about the world ending today. It’s already tomorrow in Australia.” – Charles Schulz, cartoonist and creator of “Peanuts.” The S&P 500 is less than 2% away from new all-time highs, yet worries and concerns remain top of mind. Clearly, the impact of AI has worried many investors, with software, trucking, and financial services …

On the face of it, headline fourth quarter (Q4) GDP growth disappointed. The economy grew at an annualized pace of 1.4%, after adjusting for inflation (“real” GDP growth), whereas economists were expecting double that number. A big driver of the underwhelming number was a big pullback in federal government spending, which pulled real GDP growth …

Thanks for reading this week’s Charts of the Week. This week’s charts focus on the recent Supreme Court decision on Tariffs, rates, a tale of 2 markets, and a little bit of macro data! We’ll keep publishing Charts of the Week every Monday. To view this week’s Charts of the Week, click here: Charts of the …

The Supreme Court today struck down the use of IEEPA (International Emergency Economic Powers Act) as a valid legal basis for many of the Trump administration tariffs in a 6-3 decision written by Chief Justice John Roberts with Justices Thomas, Alito, and Kavanaugh dissenting. It’s a complicated 170-page decision with concurrences, partial concurrences, and multiple …

“If it is obvious, then it is obviously wrong.” Joseph Granville I’ve noticed you can tell any story you want with a lot of the recent data. Today I wanted to share what I’ve found interesting, so you too can tell any story you want! Earnings This earnings season has been very impressive, with earnings …

In our 2026 Outlook: Riding the Wave, we took a look at the average return for the S&P 500 (and the likelihood of a positive year) for all years versus only years when the economy is growing (avoids a recession), consistent with our base case for 2026. Not surprisingly, when you take recessions off the …

Thanks for reading this week’s Charts of the Week. This week’s charts focus on the historic AI Capex cycle, crypto, and a little bit of macro data! On top of this, we end with a chart about Mondays… We’ll keep publishing Charts of the Week every Monday (Even though today is Tuesday!). To view this …

By Blake Anderson, CFA®, Associate Portfolio Manager 2026’s ‘Tech Wreck’ continues as investors extend their selloff in technology-related stocks. Investors have shied away from this industry as concerns about AI-fueled disruption to their core business models have risen. For investors with exposure to software, it may be informative to assess whether current prices signal valuation …

“Spurious: Outwardly similar or corresponding to something without having its genuine qualities.” Merriam-Webster Dictionary This will be a more fun blog, as I’ve always been fascinated by spurious correlations, or things that might go up and down together, but one doesn’t cause the other to move with it. Sometimes the connection is random; sometimes there’s …