Ryan Detrick
Let’s Look at Stocks Down Two Years in A Row
As bad as 2022 has been for investors, there is a silver lining: back-to-back declines in the S&P 500 are rarer than you may think. If you go all the way back to 1950, the only times that stocks fell in back-to-back years were during the vicious recession of 1973/1974 and then three years in …
Ryan Detrick
December 30, 2022
What Happens When Everyone Agrees That Stocks Will Fall?
“It’s not what you look at that matters; it’s what you see.” Henry David Thoreau I’ve done this for more than two decades, and I have to say, the general consensus remains that the first half of next year will be rough for stocks, while the second half of the year should be better. But …
Ryan Detrick
December 29, 2022
Phil Pearlman: Mental Health and Investing
We had a special episode in our latest Facts vs. Feelings podcast, as Sonu and I were joined by the CEO of Pearl Institute, Phil Pearlman, whose goal is to help advisors unlock their freedom through health planning and performance training. Given that everyone will be setting those resolutions soon, we couldn’t think of anyone …
Ryan Detrick
December 28, 2022
Is it Finally Time for The Santa Claus Rally? 🎅🎄🔔
“If Santa should fail to call, bears may come to Broad and Wall.” —Yale Hirsh One of the little-known facts about the Santa Claus Rally (SCR) is that it isn’t the entire month of December but is actually only seven days. Discovered in 1972 by Yale Hirsch, creator of the Stock Trader’s Almanac (carried on …
Ryan Detrick
December 22, 2022
Don’t Lose Faith Yet
Stocks have sold off hard after the Fed took a more hawkish-than-expected tone last week, which now has stocks looking at one of their worst December returns ever. The good news is that there is still time, and one of the most bullish times of the year is right around the corner. We will discuss …
Ryan Detrick
December 21, 2022
5 Things To Know About Recessions And Bear Markets
“I am an optimist because I don’t see the point in being anything else.” Abraham Lincoln With all the talk about a pending recession and stocks in a bear market, today, I wanted to share some more thoughts and stats on recessions and bear markets. First things first, we do not currently anticipate a recession …
Ryan Detrick
December 16, 2022
Is Anyone Bullish? 🐂
“The future ain’t what it used to be.” Yogi Berra We’ve noticed a recent trend: nearly no one is looking for stocks to do much in 2023. As Yogi said many years ago, the future ain’t looking too good. The general consensus is that the first half of next year could be very rough, with …
Ryan Detrick
December 13, 2022
More Positive Signs for Inflation 🤞 👍 🏷
There are many reasons stocks and bonds have had a rough year so far in 2022, and right at the top is the huge spike in inflation this year. With the latest ‘most important economic event of our lifetime’, aka the latest CPI data coming out on Tuesday, today we’ll look at some continued better …
Ryan Detrick
December 8, 2022
When does the Santa Claus Rally Start? 🎅 ⏰
As we noted on the blog last week, December is historically a strong month for stocks, and we don’t expect 2022 to be any different. It is historically the third-best month for the S&P 500 since 1950 (April and November are stronger) and third-best during a midterm year (with October and November better). Here are …
Ryan Detrick
December 6, 2022
Five Good Signs for The Bulls In 2023
Can you believe it? We made it to December! As we noted yesterday, we wouldn’t be surprised if we finished this year with some more green, but today we’ll look into the future and what could be in store in 2023. First things first, let’s start with something simple. Stocks will likely be lower this …
Ryan Detrick
December 1, 2022