Insights Investments

“Indecision may or may not be my problem.” Jimmy Buffett     Stocks continue to trend higher, yet I’m noticing a few myths starting to show up that are meant to scare investors. In today’s blog, we are going myth busting! Myth 1: No, Market Breadth Isn’t Bad I’ll be honest, I don’t get where …

One of the most popular economic indicators is the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI), and it currently points to recession. The LEI has historically had a high correlation with GDP growth – the chart below shows year-over-year change in both. You can see how the index started to fall ahead of the 1990, 2001 …

In my opinion, the trade war is over. There may be more tariffs to come, especially a few large tariffs on August 1st on a bunch of countries (50% for Brazil!), plus sectoral tariffs on things like copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductor chips, and electronics. But even those may be postponed (in fact, pharma tariffs may actually …

“Of all the things I’ve lost, I miss my mind the most.” Ozzy Osbourne First off, sorry to hear the news of Ozzy passing at 76 years old. Just a couple of weeks ago he did his final show in Birmingham, England and it was so great to see him in his element one more …

 In our latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist unpack recent market reactions, Trump’s potential impact on Jerome Powell’s Fed tenure, and new inflation data that surprised most economists. Key Takeaways Event Study on Powell’s Potential Firing: Markets briefly reacted negatively to …

“You won’t lose your job to AI, you’ll lose your job to someone who uses AI.” Jenson Huang, CEO at NVIDIA I read a lot each week and it seemed like the past few days I’ve come across some very interesting charts or ideas. In today’s blog, I wanted to share some of what I’ve …

When it comes to portfolio management, what differentiates the Carson Investment Research team, or any other team, is not easy to capture. We work in an industry where there’s a lot of talent and there are many effective broad investment principles that are shared. Where standards and skill are high, just being able to demonstrate …

One big question on everyone’s mind has been how tariffs would impact inflation. This is especially pertinent for the Federal Reserve (Fed), as it’s going to determine their next course of action—whether they continue to wait or cut rates sooner rather than later. April and May were too early for any tariff impact to show …

“We cannot direct the wind, but we can adjust the sails.” Thomas Monson, American religious leader   Do you have a fear of heights? This is known as acrophobia, which is something many, many investors have. That’s right, I’ve done this for more than two decades and new highs create a very uncomfortable feeling in …

 In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist dive into the recent controversy surrounding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, exploring potential political pressures, the Fed’s massive headquarters renovation project, and the broader implications for monetary policy and the economy if there were to be a …

“I’m involved in the stock market, which is fun and, sometimes, very painful.” Regis Philbin In case you hadn’t heard yet, last week, we released our Midyear Market Outlook 2025: Uncharted Waters! We discuss why we remain optimistic on both the economy and stock market the remainder of this year, similar to what we said …