Insights Investments

Key Takeaways: Is a Growth Scare Just That? Market sentiment has shifted, but there’s no clear recession signal yet. Key indicators like residential construction payrolls remain strong. The Fed’s Search for Neutral: Interest rates are still restrictive, but the Fed may need to cut more than expected this year to support economic growth. Government Spending & Deficits: Large …

“The stock market is the only place where things go on sale yet everyone runs out of the store screaming.” Old Wall Street saying What is it about March that brings volatility? Yesterday was the worst day of the year for stocks and worries over tariffs and a growing trade war dominate the headlines. Now …

The stock price change of technology companies is on pace for the second worst start to a year in the last decade. Sector investment fund returns are notably lagging their recent historical averages even as earnings expectations have so far held up. Additionally, momentum-based correlations have broken down and index-based dispersion has increased, signaling that …

The February employment report was a bit mixed. It didn’t tell us much that is new about the US economy, but that in and of itself is a story, depending on your expectations: If you were expecting near recession-like conditions, we don’t have that If you were expecting GDP growth to be closer to 3% …

Ok, tariffs happened. But now what is the big question—for policy, the economy, and obviously, markets. Here are Carson Investment Research’s answer to 10 key questions.   One: What tariffs went into effect? At 12:01am on March 4th, new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China went into effect. These included: 25% tariffs on all Canadian …

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into the latest market volatility, tariff concerns, and whether the economy is truly slowing down or if fears are overblown. Despite uncertainty, they analyze the data behind the “growth scare” and discuss whether the bull …

Even as the world’s attention last Friday was focused elsewhere, we got a real doozy of a data update in one corner of the economic universe. The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s Real GDP “Nowcast” for Q1 plunged from 2.3% to -1.5%, and then down to -2.8% after more data on Monday. Yeah, that’s not a typo, …

“Big opportunities come infrequently. When it’s raining gold, reach for a bucket, not a thimble.” Warren Buffett, Chairperson at Berkshire Hathaway Welcome to March and good riddance to February! In the end, February was a choppy and frustrating month, but this wasn’t a big surprise, as we wrote about and discussed all month. Are better times …

Digital assets had another great year in 2024, led by strength in Bitcoin and ETF inflows, catalyzed further by the new administration. However, as we enter more volatility in February of 2025, the prospect of higher prices now appears to be in question. Bitcoin hovers around 22% below its all-time high, but other major digital …

Nvidia released its latest earnings report after market close on Wednesday, delivering results that largely met expectations. Despite increased volatility in the stock recently, which included a record one-day market cap loss, the company’s fundamentals appear strong, customer demand remains robust. While investors can never know with certainty how the future unfolds, Nvidia’s latest results …

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, break down the latest market trends, inflation data, and what’s driving stocks to all-time highs despite ongoing concerns about tariffs, interest rates, and other economic uncertainty. Key Takeaways: Markets at All-Time Highs: Despite concerns about tariffs, …