Investments
Sheesh, Bonds!
Treasury yields, particularly on the long end, have shot higher recently and over really any period you measure. Yesterday, the 10-year closed at exactly 5.00%, with the 30-year (aka long bond) nearing 5.4%. The recent jump is pronounced even amongst the steady increase in rates this year. The bond market has effectively taken control as …
Grant Engelbart
September 16, 2026
Is AI Going to Kill All of Us? (FvF Ep. 205)
In Episode 205 of the Facts versus Feelings Podcast, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, tackle the AI story dominating headlines: a viral tweet from a former Anthropic employee warning about civilization-level risk, an OpenAI/Hugging Face sandbox incident where AI agents were caught cheating …
Ryan Detrick
September 16, 2026
Charts of the Week: September 8-11
Thanks for reading this week’s Charts of the Week This week’s charts cover the Fed, Inflation measures, supply shocks, valuations, and the current state of the economy. We’ll keep publishing Charts of the Week every Monday. To view this week’s Charts of the Week, click here: Charts of the Week: Sept. 8-11
Carson Research
September 15, 2026
Sectors Wild Ride
2026 has been volatile in the markets, driven by a shifting combination of economic, fiscal, and geopolitical pressures that have repeatedly changed expectations for growth, inflation, and interest rates. Investors entered the year focused on persistent inflation, labor market conditions, and the timing of Federal Reserve rate cuts, while tariffs and fiscal uncertainty added concerns …
Carson Research
September 15, 2026
The Inflation Data Is Going To Force the Fed To Act
Oil prices have surged over the last few weeks, taking nationwide average gasoline prices to $4.31/gallon, the highest ever for this time of year. Diesel has hit a record $6.20/gallon. That matters because diesel is what moves food and other goods across the country, allowing higher oil prices to seep into a broad array of …
Sonu Varghese
September 14, 2026
Apple’s First Event Under John Ternus
Apple’s annual product debut event ushered in a new era for the company. Mr. Tim Cook hosted the past 15 annual events as CEO, but Mr. John Ternus was promoted to CEO effective September 1st. Mr. Ternus inherits an impeccable execution track record that Mr. Cook built – zero major product recalls and the number …
Blake Anderson
September 11, 2026
Some Misconceptions of Investing Internationally
If you are a regular reader or follower of our team’s content, you likely know that we’ve spent a great deal of time over the past year and a half discussing not only the benefits of investing in overseas markets and the importance of diversification in portfolios today, but also our view that there are …
Shane Denton
September 10, 2026
Earnings Check-In: Where the Baton Ended Up
Welcome to Carson Investment Research’s Earnings Check-In for the week ending August 28, 2026. This series is built weekly from FactSet’s Earnings Insight report (John Butters, VP, Senior Earnings Analyst with FactSet), with index weights and market caps sourced from YCharts, and aggregation performed in-house. We tie every figure to FactSet’s published numbers, then add …
Harry McDonald
September 9, 2026
Everything’s Running Hot! (FvF Ep. 204)
In Episode 204 of the Facts vs Feelings Podcast, Carson Group’s Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist, dig into why “everything’s running hot” across the US economy. The hosts unpack the August jobs report, including a much-stronger-than-expected 162,000 jobs created, upward revisions to prior months, a tick higher in labor …
Ryan Detrick
September 9, 2026
Charts of the Week: Aug. 31 – Sept. 4
Thanks for reading this week’s Charts of the Week This week’s charts cover the Fed, payroll growth, gas/diesel prices, and the story of the Q2 earnings season. We’ll keep publishing Charts of the Week every Monday. To view this week’s Charts of the Week, click here: Charts of the Week: Aug. 31 – Sept. 4
Carson Research
September 8, 2026
What If The Fed Hikes?
“People calculate too much and think too little.” Charlie Munger, Former Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway First things first, stocks were flat last week, but the S&P 500 continues to hold above its June peak. This level is a logical area of support. The 50-day moving average, which is just below this area, provides …
Ryan Detrick
September 8, 2026
Data Shows The Economy Is Clearly Running Hot
The evidence for a hot economy keeps racking up. As I see it, the industrial economy is clearly in a boom on the back of enormous AI-related investment. A lot of folks pointed to a slowdown in payroll growth in recent months to counter that, nevermind the fact that the unemployment rate is near historical …
Sonu Varghese
September 4, 2026