Why High Interest Rates Haven’t Hurt the Consumer and Maybe Even Helped

“To see what is in front of one’s nose is a constant struggle.” -George Orwell   What I’m about to say might not go over well, but I’m going to do it anyways. Would you believe that in some ways higher interest rates have actually helped consumers? I get it. Half of you are furious …

A Dovish Fed Signals Rate Cuts Amid Strong Economy – That’s Bullish

The Federal Reserve (Fed) left rates unchanged at their March meeting, but the headline was that the median official continues to project three interest rate cuts in 2024, each worth 0.25%-points. Going into this meeting, a big question was whether Fed members would lower that projection to just two cuts in their summary of economic …

Have Stock Returns Been Too Good? The Strategic Perspective

We often get asked about whether stock returns have been just too good in the near term and have formed a speculative bubble. Our Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick debunked that idea in his blog yesterday. But occasionally we also get asked whether returns have been too good over the longer term. We take a …

Why This Isn’t a Bubble

Over the last 20 weeks, we have seen a huge rally in the stock market, led by tech stocks like Nvidia, which has led some to believe that we are in a bubble. Is that true? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at …

Why Stocks Aren’t in a Bubble

“Please, God, just one more bubble.” Popular Silicon Valley bumper sticker after the tech bubble burst   With stocks back at all-time highs, many are of the opinion that stocks must be in a bubble. Take note, many of these bubble callers were the same bears that fought this bull market all the way up.  …

The Rise of the Magnificent 7 and Resulting Market Concentration

Concentration of stocks within the S&P 500 has surged to the highest level since the turn of the century, with the top ten holdings now accounting for over 30% of the index. This phenomenon isn’t unique to the U.S.; a similar trend has emerged globally. In Europe, the largest stocks are referred to by the …

First Quarter Returns Aiming for the Sweet Spot

Today is the Ides of March, as March 15 is called. Known best for the day on which Julius Caeser was assassinated, it was also celebrated in pagan antiquity as the Feast of Anna Perenna, the goddess of the Wheel of the Year, and marked the end of the New Year festivities. March was the …

Bitcoin’s Big Year Keeps Getting Bigger!

Happy Pi Day to all those math fans out there! Math is nothing new to traditional finance (Tradfi), and math serves as a cornerstone of the blockchain technology that underpins the world of cryptocurrencies, perhaps more appropriately referred to as digital assets. Blockchain technology and it’s features such as security, immutability, decentralization, and ever-increasing use …

The Inflation Report Was Actually Better Than It Looked

The latest consumer price index (CPI) inflation data for February came in slightly ahead of expectations, which led the commentariat to worry about “sticky” inflation that doesn’t go away. However, I had a different sentiment after spending some time under the hood with the data. But first, the numbers. Headline CPI rose 0.4% in February, …

Is Anyone Bearish?

The market’s changing trends and sentiments play a pivotal role in determining smart investment strategies. When we look at the massive rally the stock market has seen over the last few months, what is expected for the market in the near future? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu …

Remembering the Worst Bear Market Since the Great Depression

“I am an optimist. It does not seem too much use being anything else.” -Winston Churchill   Did you know one of the worst bear markets in history ended 15 years ago this past Saturday? If you were there then you no doubt remember it. Bank stocks were outright collapsing, with many down 90%. The …

Questions to Consider During a Market Downturn

Questions to Consider During a Market Downturn

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